Match Info

Campeonato de Portugal - Group A - Round 9

Date: 9 November 2025, Sunday

Location: Estadio Cruz do Reguengo (Vila Verde)


	Vilaverdense		São Martinho

	1	X	2
	1.65	3.3	4.95
	1.73	3.12	4.76
	1.51	3.66	6.44	Watch
	1.73	3.32	4.49
	1.66	3.33	4.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.66 (1.66)	3.35 ↑ (3.33)	5.08 ↑ (4.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vilaverdense
54.9%

Draw
27.2%

São Martinho
17.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.1%

27%

18.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.4%

26.4%

18.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vilaverdense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

São Martinho has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vilaverdense than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for São Martinho than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

Vilaverdense - São Martinho Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +1 - São Martinho (1.82) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. São Martinho (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
30', 0 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
66', 0 - 2, ⚽,
76', 1 - 2, ⚽,
79', 🟥,

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 9 and 13 in the zone Relegation).

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

In this match, Vilaverdense is seen as the favorite.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Vilaverdense won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:12. (average 1.4:2.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Vilaverdense won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:4. (average 1.5:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vilaverdense FC
Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
02.11.25	Vianense - Vilaverdense	0:0 ✺
26.10.25	Vilaverdense - Tirsense	2:0 ✺
22.10.25	Vilaverdense - Mirandela	3:0 ✺
12.10.25	Ribeira Brava - Vilaverdense	1:1 ✺
05.10.25	Chaves B - Vilaverdense	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 TWWTL
- Associação Recreativa de São Martinho
Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
02.11.25	São Martinho - Camacha	2:1 ✺
26.10.25	Machico - São Martinho	0:1 ✺
05.10.25	São Martinho - Brito	0:0 ✺
28.09.25	Bragança - São Martinho	1:0 ✺
14.09.25	Vianense - São Martinho	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 23 WWTLL

Latest Head to Head

Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
08.05.22	Vilaverdense - São Martinho	2:3
02.04.22	São Martinho - Vilaverdense	2:2
07.04.19	Vilaverdense - São Martinho	1:1
18.11.18	São Martinho - Vilaverdense	5:0
28.01.18	São Martinho - Vilaverdense	1:2

Vilaverdense - São Martinho: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide