Match Info

Date: 22 November 2020, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Villa Nova AC		Bahia de Feira

	1	X	2
	4.1	3.4	1.75
	3.75	3.75	1.7
	4.6	3.85	1.59
	4.78	4.1	1.63
	4.6	3.6	1.62
	4.4	3.72	1.69
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.37 ↑ (4.14)	3.74 ↑ (3.4)	1.66 ↓ (1.74)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Villa Nova AC
20.8%

Draw
24.4%

Bahia de Feira
54.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

21.8%

26.5%

51.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

15.3%

18.5%

66.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Villa Nova AC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

Bahia de Feira has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Villa Nova AC than the current prediction. (-5.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Villa Nova AC that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bahia de Feira than the current prediction. (+11.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Bahia de Feira could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

Villa Nova is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Bahia de Feira is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Bahia de Feira will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Villa Nova won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Villa Nova AC
Brazilian Serie D
13.11.20	Gama - Villa Nova AC	3:0 ✺
07.11.20	Tupynambás - Villa Nova AC	1:1 ✺
01.11.20	Villa Nova AC - Caldense	1:1 ✺
26.10.20	Atlético de Alagoinhas - Villa Nova AC	5:0 ✺
22.10.20	Villa Nova AC - Brasiliense	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 LTTLL
- Bahia de Feira
Brazilian Serie D
14.11.20	Brasiliense - Bahia de Feira	1:1 ✺
07.11.20	Bahia de Feira - Palmas	5:0 ✺
31.10.20	Bahia de Feira - Atlético de Alagoinhas	3:3 ✺
24.10.20	Caldense - Bahia de Feira	1:0 ✺
21.10.20	Bahia de Feira - Gama	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 TWTLL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie D
26.09.20	Bahia de Feira - Villa Nova AC	2:0

Villa Nova AC - Bahia de Feira

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Preview

Form

Latest Head to Head

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