Match Info

Date: 30 April 2022, Saturday


	Caldense		Bahia de Feira

	1	X	2
	2.05	2.87	3.5
	1.85	3.05	3.95
	2.02	2.95	3.4
	2.66	2.85	2.61
	2.05	3.1	3.3
	2.42	3.13	2.83
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.18 ↑ (1.83)	2.99 ↓ (3)	3.27 ↓ (3.89)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Caldense
41.8%

Draw
30.4%

Bahia de Feira
27.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48%

29.4%

22.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.8%

28.3%

21.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Caldense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Caldense's form might have worsened.

Bahia de Feira has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Bahia de Feira's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Caldense than the current prediction. (+8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Caldense, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bahia de Feira than the current prediction. (-6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Bahia de Feira, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Preview

Two teams are in a poor body shape now.

Caldense will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Caldense won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Caldense won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AA Caldense
Brazilian Serie D
24.04.22	Noroeste - Caldense	2:1 ✺
17.04.22	Caldense - Internacional de Limeira	0:0 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Mineiro
03.04.22	Athletic Club - Caldense	1:0 penalties ✺
30.03.22	Caldense - Athletic Club	1:1 ✺
27.03.22	Atlético Mineiro - Caldense	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 LTLTL
- Bahia de Feira
Brazilian Serie D
24.04.22	Bahia de Feira - Ferroviária	0:0 ✺
17.04.22	Nova Venécia - Bahia de Feira	0:0 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Baiano
30.03.22	Atlético de Alagoinhas - Bahia de Feira	1:0 ✺
26.03.22	Bahia de Feira - Atlético de Alagoinhas	0:1 ✺
16.03.22	Vitória Salvador - Bahia de Feira	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 TTLLL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie D
24.10.20	Caldense - Bahia de Feira	1:0
14.10.20	Bahia de Feira - Caldense	3:0

Caldense - Bahia de Feira: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide