Match Info

Mineiro 2 - Play Offs - Quarter-finals

Date: 18 July 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadio Municipal Castor Cifuentes (Nova Lima)


	Villa Nova AC		Valeriodoce

	1	X	2
	2.37	2.60	3.10
	2.29	2.65	3.22
	2.36	2.75	3.28	Watch
	2.20	2.55	3.15
	2.34	2.71	3.28
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.31 ↓ (2.43)	2.65 ↓ (2.79)	3.21 ↑ (2.84)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Villa Nova AC
38.6%

Draw
33.6%

Valeriodoce
27.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.7%

31.9%

31.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.7%

32.7%

30.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Villa Nova AC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

Valeriodoce has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Villa Nova AC than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Valeriodoce than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

Villa Nova AC - Valeriodoce Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
80', 0 - 1, Ze Arthur ⚽,
90+2', 1 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

First leg.

Recent form of Villa Nova has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Valeriodoce is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Villa Nova won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Villa Nova AC
Brazilian Campeonato Mineiro 2
12.07.26	Valeriodoce - Villa Nova AC	1:0 ✺
04.07.26	Villa Nova AC - Aymorés	1:1 ✺
01.07.26	Coimbra - Villa Nova AC	2:1 ✺
24.06.26	Democrata SL - Villa Nova AC	1:0 ✺
21.06.26	Villa Nova AC - Democrata SL	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 LTLLW
- Valeriodoce EC
Brazilian Campeonato Mineiro 2
12.07.26	Valeriodoce - Villa Nova AC	1:0 ✺
05.07.26	Coimbra - Valeriodoce	0:0 ✺
01.07.26	Valeriodoce - Democrata SL	1:0 ✺
28.06.26	Aymorés - Valeriodoce	0:1 ✺
17.06.26	Valeriodoce - Aymorés	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.6 WTWWT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Mineiro 2
12.07.26	Valeriodoce - Villa Nova AC	1:0

Villa Nova AC - Valeriodoce: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide