Match Info
Mineiro 2 - Play Offs - Quarter-finalsDate: 26 July 2026, SundayLocation: Estadio Israel Pinheiro - VEC (Itabira)
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 |
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Valeriodoce |
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Villa Nova AC |
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1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
2.15 |
2.70 |
3.50 |
|
 |
1.87 |
2.70 |
4.10 |
|
 |
2.18 |
2.71 |
3.53 |
|
 |
2.2 |
2.79 |
3.59 |
Watch |
 |
2.15 |
2.65 |
3.45 |
|
 |
1.99 |
3.04 |
4.19 |
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Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.09 ↑ (1.92) |
2.77 ↓ (3) |
3.73 ↓ (4.26) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
- The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Valeriodoce 43.2% | Draw 32.6% | Villa Nova AC 24.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Valeriodoce has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)Villa Nova AC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Valeriodoce than the current prediction. (+6.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Valeriodoce, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Villa Nova AC than the current prediction. (-3.5%)Valeriodoce - Villa Nova AC Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 45+12', 0 - 1, Gabriel Falcao ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
Preview
First leg result: 1-1.Valeriodoce is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).Villa Nova is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins โ 0). In this match, Valeriodoce is the team to beat.We predict that Valeriodoce will win today's game, with odds of 1.94.In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Valeriodoce won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1. (average 1:0.5).Including home match between the teams, Valeriodoce won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;