Match Info

Serie D - Group B - Round 33

Date: 26 April 2026, Sunday


	Villa Valle		Oltrepo

	1	X	2
	2.2	2.92	3.15
	2.2	2.96	3.12
	2.22	3.05	3.17	Watch
	2.2	2.75	3.1
	2.2	3.02	3.17
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.2 ↓ (2.24)	2.94 ↓ (3)	3.14 ↓ (3.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Villa Valle
40.8%

Draw
30.6%

Oltrepo
28.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.1%

30.7%

28.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.4%

30.9%

28.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Villa Valle has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Oltrepo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Villa Valle than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Oltrepo than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

Villa Valle - Oltrepo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 3)
65', 0 - 1, ⚽,
84', 0 - 2, ⚽,
88', 0 - 3, ⚽,
90+3', 1 - 3, ⚽,

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 7 and 10).

Villa Valle has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Oltrepo has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Oltrepo may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Villa Valle will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Villa Valle won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
12	Villa Valle	6	1	4	1	6:6	0	7

Last Results with these Odds

Villa Valle - the odds 2.24 are the expected chance of winning is 41.05%, but this team recently wins 36% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- ASD Villa Valle
Italian Serie D - Group B
19.04.26	Caldiero Terme - Villa Valle	2:1 ✺
12.04.26	Villa Valle - Virtus CiseranoBergamo	1:1 ✺
02.04.26	Milan Futuro - Villa Valle	1:1 ✺
29.03.26	Villa Valle - Casatese	0:1 ✺
21.03.26	Chievo - Villa Valle	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.6 LTTLL
- FBC Oltrepo
Italian Serie D - Group B
11.04.26	Folgore Caratese - Oltrepo	1:1 ✺
02.04.26	Oltrepo - Real Calepina	1:0 ✺
29.03.26	Oltrepo - Breno	2:0 ✺
22.03.26	Scanzorosciate - Oltrepo	3:0 ✺
15.03.26	Oltrepo - Milan Futuro	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.9 TWWLL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group B
14.12.25	Oltrepo - Villa Valle	1:2

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