The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Villa Valle 33.3%
Draw 30%
Casatese 36.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
34.4%
28.9%
36.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
36.2%
27.5%
34.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Villa Valle has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)
The chances for Casatese have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Villa Valle than the current prediction. (+2.9%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Casatese than the current prediction. (-1.8%)
Villa Valle - Casatese Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
57', 0 - 1, Pozzoli A. ⚽,
Preview
One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group B (Play Offs: ) and 6).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Villa Valle won 0.
The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
Villa Valle may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Villa Valle won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 8:17. (average 1:2.1).
Including home matches between the teams, Villa Valle won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 5:8. (average 1.3:2).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
12
Villa Valle
6
1
4
1
6:6
0
7
Last Results with these Odds
Villa Valle - the odds 2.62 are the expected chance of winning is 34.4%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.
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