The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Villa de Santa Brígida 33.9%
Draw 30%
Panadería Pulido 36.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
39.6%
28.9%
31.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
40.1%
29.3%
31%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Villa de Santa Brígida has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Villa de Santa Brígida's form might have worsened.
Panadería Pulido has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Villa de Santa Brígida than the current prediction. (+6.2%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Villa de Santa Brígida, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Panadería Pulido than the current prediction. (-5.1%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Panadería Pulido, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Villa de Santa Brígida - Panadería Pulido Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
20', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
73', 1 - 1, ⚽,
86', 🟥,
Preview
A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 8 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 12 (Play Offs: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Santa Brígida won 1.
Santa Brígida has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Panadería is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Santa Brígida may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Santa Brígida won 2 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 13:18. (average 0.9:1.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Santa Brígida won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 6:9. (average 1:1.5).