Match Info

SPAIN: LIGA F WOMEN - ROUND 5

Date: 14 October 2023, Saturday


	Villarreal		Athletic Bilbao

	1	X	2
	3.5	3.3	1.85
	3.4	3.4	1.95	Watch
	3.83	3.57	1.98
	3.52	3.44	1.9
	3.65	3.4	1.87
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.58 ↑ (2.82)	3.42 ↑ (3.23)	1.91 ↓ (2.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Villarreal
25.5%

Draw
26.7%

Athletic Bilbao
47.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.8%

28.6%

38.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.6%

28.5%

38.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Villarreal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Villarreal's form might have worsened.

Athletic Bilbao has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Athletic Bilbao's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Villarreal than the current prediction. (+7.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Villarreal, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Athletic Bilbao than the current prediction. (-9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Athletic Bilbao, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Villarreal - Athletic Bilbao Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Del Toro E. (G) 14. Perez Machado N. 5. Gimenez Y. 3. Cubedo C. 20. Morcillo R. 6. Llompart Pons M. 11. Bicho 18. Soldevila P. 15. Lara F. 10. Kanteh Cham F. 12. McKenna K. J.	13. Nanclares A. (G) 27. Ortega S. 16. Zubieta M. 2. Torre Larranaga M. 12. Facila G. 15. Pinedo C. 18. Uriarte Santamaria I. 19. Cerro M. 31. Amezaga J. 7. Garcia N. 24. Sanadri
Substitutes
13. Carbonell C. (G) 7. Gomez L. 16. Gomez Q. 27. Rico Trilles V. 28. Romero M. 35. Salvador C. 21. Torrecilla V.	10. Arana P. 14. Arraiza E. 3. Landaluce N. 17. Nevado N. 22. Peke 1. Quinones Goikoetxea M. A. (G) 5. Uriarte Urazurrutia N. 23. Zugasti P.
Coaches
Monforte S.	Aznar Chicharro D.

Preview

Villarreal has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Athletic is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Athletic will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Villarreal won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4-10.

Including matches at home between the teams Villarreal won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-7.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Villarreal CF Women
Spanish Liga F Women
07.10.23	Real Madrid - Villarreal	1:0 ✺
03.10.23	Villarreal - Atlético Madrid	1:3 ✺
30.09.23	Villarreal - Valencia	1:2 ✺
16.09.23	Betis - Villarreal	1:0 ✺
Club Friendly Women
01.09.23	Villarreal - Aston Villa	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 LLLLT
- Athletic Bilbao Women
Spanish Liga F Women
09.10.23	Athletic Bilbao - Sporting de Huelva	3:0 ✺
04.10.23	Athletic Bilbao - Granada	1:0 ✺
01.10.23	Badalona - Athletic Bilbao	2:1 ✺
16.09.23	Atlético Madrid - Athletic Bilbao	3:0 ✺
Club Friendly Women
26.08.23	Athletic Bilbao - Sporting Lisbon	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 WWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Liga F Women
20.05.23	Athletic Bilbao - Villarreal	1:1
26.11.22	Villarreal - Athletic Bilbao	1:6
26.03.22	Villarreal - Athletic Bilbao	1:1
17.10.21	Athletic Bilbao - Villarreal	2:1

Villarreal - Athletic Bilbao: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide