Match Info

Date: 5 December 2021, Sunday


	Villarreal B		Barcelona B

	1	X	2
	2.2	2.9	3.25
	2.15	3.1	3
	2.08	3	3.5
	2.16	3	3.15
	2.14	3.12	3.62
	2.12	3.22	3.34
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.14 ↓ (2.17)	3.06 ↓ (3.12)	3.31 ↑ (3.07)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Villarreal B
42.6%

Draw
29.8%

Barcelona B
27.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.6%

29%

29.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.3%

19.8%

43.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Villarreal B has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

Barcelona B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Villarreal B than the current prediction. (-14.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Villarreal B that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barcelona B than the current prediction. (+15.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Barcelona B could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Villarreal B - Barcelona B Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs (Promotion ~ Play Offs) and 7).

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Barcelona B could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Villarreal B will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 11 head-to-head matches Villarreal B won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 16-17.

Including matches at home between the teams Villarreal B won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 8-7.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Villarreal B
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
27.11.21	Linense - Villarreal B	1:2 ✺
13.11.21	Linares Deportivo - Villarreal B	2:1 ✺
07.11.21	Villarreal B - Alcoyano	0:1 ✺
29.10.21	Real Madrid Castilla - Villarreal B	2:1 ✺
23.10.21	Villarreal B - FC Andorra	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 WLLLW
- FC Barcelona B
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
27.11.21	Barcelona B - San Fernando	0:2 ✺
21.11.21	Albacete Balompié - Barcelona B	2:0 ✺
13.11.21	Atlético Sanluqueño - Barcelona B	0:2 ✺
06.11.21	Barcelona B - Sevilla B	4:0 ✺
29.10.21	Linares Deportivo - Barcelona B	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 LLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 3
09.05.21	Villarreal B - Barcelona B	3:4
18.04.21	Barcelona B - Villarreal B	3:2
09.02.20	Barcelona B - Villarreal B	2:3
21.09.19	Villarreal B - Barcelona B	0:1
10.03.19	Villarreal B - Barcelona B	2:1
20.10.18	Barcelona B - Villarreal B	1:1
21.01.17	Villarreal B - Barcelona B	2:0

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