Match Info

SPAIN: Primera RFEF - Group 2 - Round 21

Date: 26 January 2025, Sunday

Location: Alfredo di Stéfano Stadium (Madrid)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	FEF TV, Real Madrid TV


	Real Madrid Castilla		Villarreal B

	1	X	2
	1.95	3.1	3.6
	2	3.2	3.2
	1.98	2.9	3.3
	2.02	3.33	3.69
	1.98	3.32	3.54	Watch
	1.98	3.38	3.55
	1.98	2.9	3.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.98 ↓ (2)	3.16 ↑ (2.88)	3.45 ↓ (3.52)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Real Madrid Castilla
45.4%

Draw
28.5%

Villarreal B
26.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.2%

30.7%

25.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.3%

28.7%

23.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Real Madrid Castilla has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

Villarreal B has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Madrid Castilla than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Villarreal B than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

Real Madrid Castilla - Villarreal B Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Pineiro del Alamo D. (G) 29. Rivas M. 14. Ramon J. 15. Ribes K. 22. Jimenez D. 27. Fortuny P. 6. Andres C. 8. Moran M. A. 23. Yusi 7. Garcia G. 9. Munoz V.	1. Alvarez I. (G) 15. Joseda 6. Perez H. 4. Espigares A. 3. Romero C. 22. Viveros F. 20. Ojeda T. 23. Diatta A. 5. Sola A. 11. Requena D. 14. Etta Eyong

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
4', 0 - 1, Etta Eyong ⚽,
6', Sola A. 🟨,
15', 1 - 1, Ramon J. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Diatta A. ↓, Rodri ↑,
46', Viveros F. ↓, Valverde V. ↑,
47', 1 - 2, Valverde V. ⚽,
57', Joseda ↓, Budesca D. ↑,
63', Jimenez D. ↓, Alonso B. ↑,
63', Ribes K. ↓, Lorenzo ↑,
70', Yusi ↓, Yanez D. ↑,
70', Munoz V. ↓, Valdepenas V. ↑,
76', Fortuny P. ↓, Antonio David ↑,
81', Etta Eyong ↓, Geralnik T. ↑,
81', Ojeda T. ↓, Slavy ↑,
90+2', 🟨,
90+2', 2 - 2, Ramon J. ⚽,

Preview

This time we will watch a game between teams from the middle of a tournament table (ranked 12 and 9).

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Real Madrid Castilla could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Real Madrid Castilla will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Real Madrid Castilla won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 5:8 (average 1.3:2).

Including matches at home between the teams Real Madrid Castilla won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3:3 (average 1.5:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real Madrid Castilla
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
17.01.25	Betis B - Real Madrid Castilla	1:3 ✺
11.01.25	Real Madrid Castilla - Alcoyano	2:0 ✺
22.12.24	Ceuta - Real Madrid Castilla	2:1 ✺
15.12.24	Real Madrid Castilla - Recreativo Huelva	2:1 ✺
06.12.24	Real Murcia - Real Madrid Castilla	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 WWLWL
- Villarreal B
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
19.01.25	Villarreal B - Antequera	1:1 ✺
12.01.25	Fuenlabrada - Villarreal B	0:0 ✺
21.12.24	Villarreal B - Yeclano Deportivo	0:1 ✺
15.12.24	Intercity - Villarreal B	2:2 ✺
08.12.24	Villarreal B - Marbella	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 TTLTT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
07.09.24	Villarreal B - Real Madrid Castilla	1:1
08.05.22	Villarreal B - Real Madrid Castilla	4:1
29.10.21	Real Madrid Castilla - Villarreal B	2:1
Club Friendly
09.08.15	Real Madrid Castilla - Villarreal B	1:2

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