Match Info

SPAIN: TERCERA RFEF - GROUP 18 - ROUND 21

Date: 19 February 2023, Sunday


	Villarrobledo		Conquense

	1	X	2
	2.08	2.67	3.39
	2.2	2.8	3.56
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.14 ↑ (2.08)	2.74 ↑ (2.67)	3.48 ↑ (3.39)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Villarrobledo
41.7%

Draw
32.6%

Conquense
25.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.8%

32.6%

25.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.8%

30.4%

23.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Villarrobledo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Conquense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Villarrobledo than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Conquense than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

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Preview

This time we will watch a game between teams from the middle of a tournament table (ranked 8 and 7).

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Villarrobledo could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Villarrobledo will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Villarrobledo won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Villarrobledo won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CP Villarrobledo
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 18
12.02.23	La Solana - Villarrobledo	1:0 ✺
05.02.23	Villarrobledo - Torrijos	3:2 ✺
29.01.23	Calvo Sotelo Puertollano - Villarrobledo	2:0 ✺
22.01.23	Atlético Tomelloso - Villarrobledo	2:2 ✺
15.01.23	Villarrobledo - Azuqueca	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 LWLTW
- UB Conquense
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 18
12.02.23	Conquense - Azuqueca	0:0 ✺
04.02.23	Villacañas - Conquense	0:1 ✺
21.01.23	Villarrubia - Conquense	3:1 ✺
15.01.23	Conquense - Quintanar del Rey	0:0 ✺
08.01.23	Conquense - Tarancón	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 TWLTL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 18
16.10.22	Conquense - Villarrobledo	1:0
20.03.22	Villarrobledo - Conquense	0:0
21.11.21	Conquense - Villarrobledo	3:1

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