Match Info

Segunda RFEF - Group 5 - Round 20

Date: 25 January 2026, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	Footballclub


	Conquense		Quintanar del Rey

	1	X	2
	1.95	2.9	3.9
	1.95	2.92	3.85
	2	2.95	4.26
	1.99	2.93	4.14	Watch
	1.94	2.88	4.25
	2	2.85	4.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.97 ↑ (1.77)	2.91 ↓ (3.09)	4.1 ↓ (4.59)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Conquense
46.3%

Draw
31.4%

Quintanar del Rey
22.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51%

29.3%

19.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.3%

28%

18.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Conquense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)

Quintanar del Rey has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Conquense than the current prediction. (+7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Conquense, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Quintanar del Rey than the current prediction. (-3.5%)

Conquense - Quintanar del Rey Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
29', 0 - 1, Guti ⚽,
37', 1 - 1, Ruiz N. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
90+1', 2 - 1, Sanchez A. ⚽,

Preview

A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 7 and 16 in the zone Relegation).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Conquense won 1.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

In this match, Conquense is the team to beat.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Conquense won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 0.3:0.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Conquense won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:1. (average 0.3:0.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Conquense	5	3	1	1	10:7	3	10

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UB Conquense
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
18.01.26	Rayo Majadahonda - Conquense	2:0 ✺
11.01.26	Conquense - Alcalá	2:1 ✺
03.01.26	Elche Ilicitano - Conquense	5:2 ✺
20.12.25	Conquense - Intercity	2:2 ✺
14.12.25	Socuéllamos - Conquense	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 LWLTW
- CD Quintanar del Rey
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
18.01.26	Quintanar del Rey - Rayo Vallecano B	0:0 ✺
11.01.26	Coria - Quintanar del Rey	0:0 ✺
04.01.26	Quintanar del Rey - Las Palmas B	0:2 ✺
20.12.25	Colonia Moscardó - Quintanar del Rey	1:5 ✺
14.12.25	Quintanar del Rey - San Sebastian Reyes	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 TTLWL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
16.11.25	Quintanar del Rey - Conquense	0:0
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 18
01.05.24	Quintanar del Rey - Conquense	1:1
07.01.24	Conquense - Quintanar del Rey	1:0
15.01.23	Conquense - Quintanar del Rey	0:0
11.09.22	Quintanar del Rey - Conquense	0:0
05.01.22	Conquense - Quintanar del Rey	0:1

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