Match Info
Tercera RFEF - Group 18 - Round 7Date: 18 October 2025, Saturday
|
 |
|
 |
|
|
Villarrubia |
|
Illescas |
|
|
1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
1.85 |
2.98 |
4.25 |
|
 |
1.88 |
3.04 |
4.43 |
|
 |
6.30 |
3.24 |
1.63 |
 Watch |
 |
1.87 |
3.08 |
4.19 |
|
 |
1.55 |
3.7 |
5.6 |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.69 ↑
(1.59) |
3.21 ↓
(3.6) |
4.02 ↓
(5.09) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
- The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Villarrubia
39.9% | Draw
33.4% | Illescas
26.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Villarrubia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-17.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Villarrubia's form might have worsened.Illescas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.9%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Illescas's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Villarrubia than the current prediction. (+18.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Villarrubia, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Illescas than the current prediction. (-9.2%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Illescas, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.Villarrubia - Illescas Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (0 - 2)
- 30', 0 - 1, ⚽,
- 43', 0 - 2, ⚽,
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 55', 1 - 2, ⚽,
- 64', 2 - 2, ⚽,
- 90+2', 2 - 3, ⚽,
Preview
One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion and 13).In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Villarrubia won 1.Villarrubia is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 2 wins).Illescas has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).Villarrubia may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days. In this match, Villarrubia is the team to beat.In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Villarrubia won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:6. (average 0.7:0.9).Including home matches between the teams, Villarrubia won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:3. (average 1:0.8).
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
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