Match Info

Date: 20 February 2022, Sunday


	Villaviciosa de Odón		Galapagar

	1	X	2
	3.3	2.85	2.1
	2.8	2.88	2.25
	3.3	3.1	1.99
	3.45	2.98	2.06
	3.3	3.3	2.08
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.23 ↑ (2.37)	3.02 ↑ (2.86)	2.1 ↓ (2.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Villaviciosa de Odón
27.7%

Draw
29.6%

Galapagar
42.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.7%

30.4%

32.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.2%

21.7%

45.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Villaviciosa de Odón has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Villaviciosa de Odón's form might have worsened.

Galapagar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Galapagar's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Villaviciosa de Odón than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Galapagar than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

Villaviciosa de Odón - Galapagar Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

A team from the mid-table and outsider will play in this match (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation and 8).

Villaviciosa de Odón has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Galapagar is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Villaviciosa de Odón could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Galapagar will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Villaviciosa de Odón won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AD Villaviciosa de Odón
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
16.02.22	Alcorcón B - Villaviciosa de Odón	3:1 ✺
13.02.22	Villaviciosa de Odón - Las Rozas	0:2 ✺
09.02.22	Complutense Alcalá - Villaviciosa de Odón	1:1 ✺
05.02.22	Atlético Madrid B - Villaviciosa de Odón	7:1 ✺
30.01.22	Villaviciosa de Odón - Colonia Moscardó	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 LLTLL
- CD Galapagar
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
13.02.22	Villaverde San Andrés - Galapagar	1:2 ✺
09.02.22	Alcorcón B - Galapagar	0:2 ✺
06.02.22	Galapagar - Trival Valderas	3:0 ✺
30.01.22	Ursaria - Galapagar	4:0 ✺
26.01.22	Galapagar - Parla	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
24.10.21	Galapagar - Villaviciosa de Odón	2:0

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