Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 7 - Round 16

Date: 4 January 2026, Sunday


	Galapagar		Parla

	1	X	2
	2	3	3.4
	2.05	2.92	3.55
	2.18	3.09	3.35	Watch
	2.15	2.75	3.5
	2.11	2.92	3.5
	2.16	2.9	3.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.11 ↑ (1.97)	2.93 ↓ (3.29)	3.45 ↓ (3.46)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Galapagar
42.9%

Draw
30.9%

Parla
26.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.1%

27.6%

26.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.2%

23.5%

30.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Galapagar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

Parla has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Galapagar than the current prediction. (-3.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Parla than the current prediction. (+4.7%)

Galapagar - Parla Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
18', 1 - 0, Figueroa A. G. d. ⚽,
40', 2 - 0, Torre J. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
51', 2 - 1, ⚽,
57', 🟥,

Preview

A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 12 and 17 in the zone Relegation).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Galapagar won 4.

Both teams are currently in poor form.

Galapagar might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Galapagar won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 13:9. (average 2.2:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Galapagar won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 11:2. (average 3.7:0.7).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Galapagar	5	2	2	1	10:8	2	8

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Galapagar
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
20.12.25	Galapagar - Unión Adarve	1:0 ✺
13.12.25	Alcorcón B - Galapagar	2:1 ✺
06.12.25	Galapagar - Villaverde San Andrés	0:0 ✺
22.11.25	México - Galapagar	2:0 ✺
15.11.25	Galapagar - Atlético Madrid C	1:8 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 WLTLL
- AD Parla
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
20.12.25	Alcorcón B - Parla	4:1 ✺
14.12.25	Parla - México	1:3 ✺
07.12.25	Tres Cantos - Parla	3:1 ✺
23.11.25	Parla - Carabanchel	3:1 ✺
16.11.25	Móstoles URJC - Parla	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 LLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
06.04.25	Parla - Galapagar	1:1
24.11.24	Galapagar - Parla	3:0
11.02.24	Parla - Galapagar	0:1
24.09.23	Galapagar - Parla	4:2
26.01.22	Galapagar - Parla	4:0
19.09.21	Parla - Galapagar	6:0

Galapagar - Parla: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide