Match Info

Date: 21 November 2021, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Villaviciosa de Odón		Ursaria

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Villaviciosa de Odón
26%

Draw
31.1%

Ursaria
42.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

26%

31.1%

42.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.5%

23.3%

57.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Villaviciosa de Odón have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

Ursaria has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Villaviciosa de Odón than the current prediction. (-6.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Villaviciosa de Odón that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ursaria than the current prediction. (+14.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ursaria could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 11).

Villaviciosa de Odón is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Ursaria is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Ursaria could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Ursaria will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AD Villaviciosa de Odón
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
17.11.21	Parla - Villaviciosa de Odón	4:3 ✺
14.11.21	Villaviciosa de Odón - CDE Madrid	1:2 ✺
07.11.21	Getafe B - Villaviciosa de Odón	1:1 ✺
31.10.21	Villaviciosa de Odón - Tres Cantos	1:0 ✺
24.10.21	Galapagar - Villaviciosa de Odón	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 LLTWL
- CDE Ursaria
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
14.11.21	Villaverde San Andrés - Ursaria	0:1 ✺
07.11.21	Ursaria - Trival Valderas	0:0 ✺
31.10.21	Ursaria - Torrejón	0:0 ✺
24.10.21	Parla - Ursaria	1:1 ✺
17.10.21	Ursaria - CDE Madrid	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 WTTTT

Villaviciosa de Odón - Ursaria