Match Info

National - Round 5

Date: 5 September 2025, Friday

Where to Watch on TV:


France	BFM Lyon
World	FIFA+


	Villefranche		Fleury 91

	1	X	2
	2.75	3	2.3
	2.88	3.05	2.4
	3.06	3.05	2.54
	2.93	2.93	2.51	Watch
	2.88	3.13	2.41	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.9 ↓ (2.93)	3.03 ↓ (3.13)	2.43 ↑ (2.41)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Villefranche
31.8%

Draw
30.4%

Fleury 91
37.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.7%

29.7%

38.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.5%

29.5%

38.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Villefranche has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Fleury 91 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Villefranche than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fleury 91 than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	20%	20%

Villefranche - Fleury 91 Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Villefranche will win (votes: 3 - 60%). Fleury will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Fleury (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.25 - Villefranche (1.71) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Villefranche (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Fleury (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Pean S. (C) 2. Sbai H. 20. Sofiane Y. 17. Camelo L. 3. Grippon T. 23. Sebban J. 8. Marcel V. 18. Keita S. 12. Testud K. 27. Mixtur K. 26. Thoumin A.	40. Alette G. (G) 21. Tchouatcha J. 4. Vogt Q. 26. Karamoko H. 5. Aubourg H. 22. Badin C. 8. Leleve R. 10. Le Mehaute Y. 19. Farade K. 17. Lavigne V. 23. Bovis E. (C)
Substitutes
21. Boudache I. 9. Leye B. 19. Nagera K. 29. Ngom Matip T. 11. Sylla K.	14. Belliard M. 2. Colombo F. 27. Gannoun K. 28. Homssa N. 9. Rivas J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
21', Leleve R. 🟨,
28', 0 - 1, Le Mehaute Y. ⚽, Lavigne V. (A),
43', Testud K. 🟨,
45+1', Sebban J. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Le Mehaute Y. ↓, Belliard M. ↑,
46', Sebban J. ↓, Sylla K. ↑,
51', 0 - 2, Farade K. ⚽,
62', Testud K. ↓, Ngom Matip T. ↑,
62', Sbai H. ↓, Nagera K. ↑,
69', Lavigne V. ↓, Homssa N. ↑,
69', Farade K. ↓, Rivas J. ↑,
72', Thoumin A. ↓, Leye B. ↑,
78', Aubourg H. ↓, Colombo F. ↑,
78', Badin C. ↓, Gannoun K. ↑,
80', Karamoko H. 🟨,
81', Grippon T. ↓, Boudache I. ↑,
88', 0 - 3, Belliard M. ⚽, Rivas J. (A),

Preview

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Villefranche may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Villefranche
French Ligue 3
22.08.25	Villefranche - Quevilly	2:1 ✺
15.08.25	Aubagne - Villefranche	3:1 ✺
08.08.25	Villefranche - Concarneau	0:0 ✺
Club Friendly
26.07.25	Annecy - Villefranche	1:2 ✺
19.07.25	Lyon - Villefranche	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.2 WLTWL
- FC Fleury 91
French Ligue 3
29.08.25	Fleury 91 - Caen	1:2 ✺
22.08.25	Paris 13 Atletico - Fleury 91	1:0 ✺
15.08.25	Fleury 91 - Stade Briochin	4:1 ✺
08.08.25	Rouen FC - Fleury 91	0:0 ✺
Club Friendly
01.08.25	Fleury 91 - Boulogne	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 LLWTW

Villefranche - Fleury 91: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide