Match Info

SPAIN: TERCERA RFEF - GROUP 3 - ROUND 17

Date: 20 January 2024, Saturday


	Vimenor		Velarde

	1	X	2
	1.41	4.1	6.25
	1.42	4.2	6.5
	1.43	4.03	6.41
	1.4	4.2	6.94
	1.42	4.2	6.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.42 ↓ (1.44)	4.15 ↓ (4.25)	6.52 ↑ (5.99)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vimenor
64.2%

Draw
21.9%

Velarde
13.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.3%

21.5%

15.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.9%

15.9%

20.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vimenor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

Velarde has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vimenor than the current prediction. (-17.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Vimenor that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Velarde than the current prediction. (+6.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Velarde could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Vimenor - Velarde Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 3 (Play Offs: ) and 18 in the zone Relegation).

Recent matches Vimenor is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Velarde is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match Vimenor is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Vimenor won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Vimenor won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CF Vimenor
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 3
13.01.24	Sámano - Vimenor	3:0 ✺
07.01.24	Vimenor - Guarnizo	1:1 ✺
16.12.23	Cartes - Vimenor	1:1 ✺
02.12.23	Vimenor - Tropezón	1:2 ✺
26.11.23	Solares-Medio Cudeyo - Vimenor	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 LTTLW
- Velarde CF
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 3
13.01.24	Velarde - Torina	1:1 ✺
07.01.24	Siete Villas - Velarde	2:1 ✺
16.12.23	Velarde - Atlético Mineros Reocín	2:2 ✺
02.12.23	Colindres - Velarde	1:0 ✺
25.11.23	Velarde - Revilla	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 TLTLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera Division - Play Offs
06.01.18	Vimenor - Velarde	3:2

Vimenor - Velarde: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide