The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Vinotinto 59.8%
Draw 24.7%
22 de Julio 15.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
55.7%
25.2%
19.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
52.4%
23.7%
20.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Vinotinto has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)
22 de Julio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vinotinto than the current prediction. (-7.4%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Vinotinto that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for 22 de Julio than the current prediction. (+4.8%)
Vinotinto - 22 de Julio Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
31', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
74', 🟥,
90+6', 2 - 0, ⚽,
90+7', 🟥,
Preview
A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 7 in the zone Serie B (Relegation Group: ) and 11 in the zone Serie B (Relegation Group: )).
In recent matches, Vinotinto has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
22 de Julio is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
22 de Julio may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, Vinotinto is a strong favorite.
Recently, there has been no match between the teams.
Ecuador
Watch
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