Match Info
Serie B - Promotion Group - Round 4Date: 17 September 2026, Thursday 🏁 Finished Location: Estadio Olímpico Atahualpa (Quito) 🌤️ ...Where to Watch on TV: | Country | Kick-Off | TV Channels |
|---|
 Ecuador | 15:15 | Zapping, Zapping Sports |
|
 |
|
 |
|
|
Vinotinto |
|
9 de Octubre |
|
|
1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
|
|
|
 Watch |
 |
2.05 |
2.70 |
3.80 |
|
 |
2.12 |
2.65 |
3.65 |
Watch |
 |
2.15 |
2.68 |
4.32 |
|
 |
2.12 |
2.75 |
4.27 |
Watch |
 |
2.16 |
2.88 |
3.86 |
Watch |
 |
2.10 |
2.70 |
3.70 |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.12 ↓
(2.4) |
2.73 ↑
(2.55) |
3.93 ↑
(3.2) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 6.00
- The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Vinotinto
43.2% | Draw
33.5% | 9 de Octubre
23.3% |
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML EstimationAnalysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:Vinotinto has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Vinotinto's performance.9 de Octubre has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vinotinto than the current prediction. (-6.7%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Vinotinto that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for 9 de Octubre than the current prediction. (+5.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that 9 de Octubre could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.Vinotinto - 9 de Octubre Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0 
#ad
Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 86', 1 - 0, ⚽,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Vinotinto won 2.Vinotinto is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).In recent matches, 9 de Octubre has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).Recently, Vinotinto has had a series of home games. The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Vinotinto won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 20:13. (average 2:1.3).Including home matches between the teams, Vinotinto won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 14:5. (average 2.8:1).
Standings
Promotion Group | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
|
| 2 | Vinotinto | 31 | 14 | 9 | 8 | 39:23 | 16 | 51 |
|
| 4 | Nueve de Octubre | 31 | 12 | 13 | 6 | 35:24 | 11 | 49 |
|
|
Last Results with these Odds
9 de Octubre - the odds 3.2 are the expected chance of winning is 27.87%, but this team recently wins 13% of matches with these odds.
Latest Head to Head
| Ecuadorian Serie B | | | 09.06.26 | 9 de Octubre - Vinotinto | 2:1 | | 08.04.26 | Vinotinto - 9 de Octubre | 0:1 | | 16.10.24 | Vinotinto - 9 de Octubre | 5:2 | | 01.09.24 | 9 de Octubre - Vinotinto | 3:2 | | 05.06.24 | Vinotinto - 9 de Octubre | 3:1 | | 10.04.24 | 9 de Octubre - Vinotinto | 1:0 | | 20.09.23 | 9 de Octubre - Vinotinto | 1:2 |
|
Upcoming Matches
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Betting Bonus up to 1 000 EUR + 250 EUR free bet !
