Match Info

ITALY: SERIE D - GROUP C - ROUND 19

Date: 14 January 2024, Sunday


	Virtus Bolzano		Dolomiti Bellunesi

	1	X	2
	3.5	3.2	1.9
	3.38	3.25	1.94
	3.38	3.25	1.94
	3.8	3.3	1.73
	4.3	3.5	1.74
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.67 ↑ (1.59)	3.3 ↓ (3.7)	1.85 ↓ (5.18)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Virtus Bolzano
24.4%

Draw
27.2%

Dolomiti Bellunesi
48.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.6%

24.7%

17.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.7%

23.9%

18.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Virtus Bolzano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-33.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Virtus Bolzano's form might have worsened.

Dolomiti Bellunesi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+30.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Dolomiti Bellunesi's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Virtus Bolzano than the current prediction. (+31.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Virtus Bolzano, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dolomiti Bellunesi than the current prediction. (-30.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Dolomiti Bellunesi, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
11.1%	0%	88.9%

Virtus Bolzano - Dolomiti Bellunesi Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Bolzano will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). Dolomiti Bellunesi will win (votes: 8 - 88.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Dolomiti Bellunesi: 68.4% – 100%.

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Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group C (Play Offs: )).

Bolzano has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Dolomiti Bellunesi is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Recently Bolzano have a series of guest games.

In this match Bolzano is a favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Bolzano won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Bolzano won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Virtus Bolzano
Italian Serie D - Group C
07.01.24	Bassano Virtus - Virtus Bolzano	2:0 ✺
20.12.23	Campodarsego - Virtus Bolzano	0:0 ✺
16.12.23	Virtus Bolzano - Mori Santo Stefano	0:1 ✺
10.12.23	Adriese - Virtus Bolzano	2:0 ✺
03.12.23	Portogruaro Summaga - Virtus Bolzano	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 LTLLL
- AC Dolomiti Bellunesi
Italian Serie D - Group C
07.01.24	Dolomiti Bellunesi - Adriese	0:1 ✺
21.12.23	Dolomiti Bellunesi - Mestre	1:0 ✺
16.12.23	Portogruaro Summaga - Dolomiti Bellunesi	2:2 ✺
10.12.23	Dolomiti Bellunesi - Este	4:1 ✺
03.12.23	Union Clodiense - Dolomiti Bellunesi	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 LWTWT

Latest Head to Head

Coppa Italia Serie D
18.10.23	Dolomiti Bellunesi - Virtus Bolzano	2:0
Italian Serie D - Group C
17.09.23	Dolomiti Bellunesi - Virtus Bolzano	1:1
29.01.23	Dolomiti Bellunesi - Virtus Bolzano	1:1
28.09.22	Virtus Bolzano - Dolomiti Bellunesi	4:2

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