Match Info

ITALY: SERIE D - GROUP C - ROUND 16

Date: 16 December 2023, Saturday


	Virtus Bolzano		Mori Santo Stefano

	1	X	2
	1.83	3.2	3.8
	1.82	3.35	3.75
	1.83	3	4
	1.85	3.32	3.84
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.83 ↓ (2.02)	3.22 ↑ (3)	3.85 ↑ (3.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 10.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Virtus Bolzano
48.9%

Draw
27.8%

Mori Santo Stefano
23.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.8%

30.1%

25.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.6%

26.6%

28.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Virtus Bolzano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

Mori Santo Stefano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Virtus Bolzano than the current prediction. (-9.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Virtus Bolzano that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mori Santo Stefano than the current prediction. (+5.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Mori Santo Stefano could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 18 in the zone Relegation).

Recent matches Bolzano is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Mori Santo Stefano is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match Bolzano is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Virtus Bolzano
Italian Serie D - Group C
10.12.23	Adriese - Virtus Bolzano	2:0 ✺
03.12.23	Portogruaro Summaga - Virtus Bolzano	2:0 ✺
26.11.23	Virtus Bolzano - Atletico Castegnato	1:1 ✺
19.11.23	Este - Virtus Bolzano	1:1 ✺
12.11.23	Virtus Bolzano - Mestre	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.3 LLTTW
- ASD Mori Santo Stefano
Italian Serie D - Group C
10.12.23	Mori Santo Stefano - Mestre	0:0 ✺
03.12.23	Cjarlins Muzane - Mori Santo Stefano	1:1 ✺
26.11.23	Mori Santo Stefano - Este	0:3 ✺
19.11.23	Breno - Mori Santo Stefano	3:0 ✺
12.11.23	Mori Santo Stefano - Union Clodiense	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 TTLLL

Virtus Bolzano - Mori Santo Stefano: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide