Match Info

ITALY: Serie D - Group C - Round 16

Date: 1 December 2024, Sunday


	Virtus CiseranoBergamo		Luparense

	1	X	2
	3	3.1	2.23
	3	3.1	2.2
	3.01	3.08	2.26
	3	3.1	2.23
Avarage Now (Initially)	3 ↑ (2.99)	3.1 (3.1)	2.23 ↓ (2.27)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Virtus CiseranoBergamo
30.2%

Draw
29.3%

Luparense
40.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.5%

29.4%

40.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.6%

31.4%

42.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Virtus CiseranoBergamo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Luparense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Virtus CiseranoBergamo than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Luparense than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

Virtus CiseranoBergamo - Luparense Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 2)
54', 0 - 1, Colombi M. ⚽,
68', 0 - 2, Adrian O. ⚽,
77', 🟥,

Last Results with these Odds

Virtus CiseranoBergamo - the odds 2.99 are the expected chance of winning is 30.48%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Virtus CiseranoBergamo
Italian Serie D - Group C
10.11.24	Brusaporto - Virtus CiseranoBergamo	1:2 ✺
27.10.24	Brian Lignano - Virtus CiseranoBergamo	1:0 ✺
23.10.24	Virtus CiseranoBergamo - Chions	2:3 ✺
13.10.24	Virtus CiseranoBergamo - Caravaggio	2:0 ✺
06.10.24	Montecchio Maggiore - Virtus CiseranoBergamo	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.9 WLLWW
- Luparense FC
Italian Serie D - Group C
24.11.24	Luparense - Campodarsego	2:1 ✺
17.11.24	Cjarlins Muzane - Luparense	2:1 ✺
27.10.24	Luparense - Lavis	3:1 ✺
23.10.24	Adriese - Luparense	1:0 ✺
13.10.24	Este - Luparense	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 WLWLT

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