The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Virtus Francavilla 48.1%
Draw 27.1%
Gravina 24.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
42.6%
27.6%
29.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
43.7%
26.9%
29%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Virtus Francavilla has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Virtus Francavilla's performance.
Gravina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Virtus Francavilla than the current prediction. (-4.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gravina than the current prediction. (+4.1%)
Virtus Francavilla - Gravina Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (3 - 0)
20', 1 - 0, Ajello G. ⚽,
32', 2 - 0, (Own goal),
40', 3 - 0, Rocco A. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
Preview
Virtus Francavilla is in solid form heading into this fixture (last 5 matches: 4 wins).
Performances by Gravina have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
In this matchup, Virtus Francavilla is considered the favorite to take the win.
Our forecast points to a victory for Virtus Francavilla in today's match, at odds of 1.63.
In the last 4 head-to-head meetings, Virtus Francavilla has recorded 1 win, 1 draw, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 3:5 (averaging 0.8:1.3 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Virtus Francavilla against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 0:1 goals.
Last Results with these Odds
Gravina - the odds 3.02 are the expected chance of winning is 29.78%, but this team recently wins 20% of matches with these odds.
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