Match Info

Date: 14 November 2021, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Virtus Matino		Nardo

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Virtus Matino
36.4%

Draw
29.8%

Nardo
33.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

36.2%

30.2%

33.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.1%

21.8%

46.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Virtus Matino has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Nardo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Virtus Matino than the current prediction. (-10.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Virtus Matino that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nardo than the current prediction. (+12.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Nardo could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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A team from the mid-table and outsider will play in this match (ranked 18 in the zone Serie D ~ Play Out and 14).

Virtus Matino is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Nardo is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Virtus Matino
Italian Serie D - Group H
07.11.21	Casertana - Virtus Matino	2:0 ✺
31.10.21	Virtus Matino - Bisceglie	0:1 ✺
24.10.21	Gravina - Virtus Matino	0:2 ✺
20.10.21	Virtus Matino - Altamura	0:2 ✺
17.10.21	Casarano - Virtus Matino	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 LLWLL
- ACD Nardo
Italian Serie D - Group H
07.11.21	Nardo - Mariglianese	2:1 ✺
31.10.21	Audace Cerignola - Nardo	1:1 ✺
24.10.21	Nardo - Lavello	2:1 ✺
20.10.21	Nocerina - Nardo	2:0 ✺
17.10.21	Nardo - Casertana	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12 WTWLL

Virtus Matino - Nardo