Match Info

Date: 7 November 2021, Sunday


	Casertana		Virtus Matino

	1	X	2
	1.44	3.9	6
	1.58	3.5	4.9
	1.43	3.8	5.8
	1.42	3.91	6.01
	1.45	4.15	6.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.46 ↑ (1.36)	3.85 ↓ (4.6)	5.81 ↓ (7.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Casertana
61.3%

Draw
23.3%

Virtus Matino
15.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

67.2%

19.9%

12.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

79%

16.9%

11%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Casertana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Casertana's form might have worsened.

Virtus Matino has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Casertana than the current prediction. (+17.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Casertana, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Virtus Matino than the current prediction. (-4.4%)

Casertana - Virtus Matino Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

This match will be played by one of a leader and outsider (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Play Offs and 18 in the zone Serie D ~ Play Out).

Casertana in the latest game got a series victories and it is in a perfect shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Virtus Matino is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Casertana is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Casertana to win the game is with odds 1.58.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Casertana
Italian Serie D - Group H
03.11.21	Nocerina - Casertana	1:3 ✺
24.10.21	Casertana - Audace Cerignola	2:2 ✺
20.10.21	Casertana - Gravina	5:1 ✺
17.10.21	Nardo - Casertana	1:2 ✺
10.10.21	Casertana - Casarano	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.8 WTWWW
- Virtus Matino
Italian Serie D - Group H
31.10.21	Virtus Matino - Bisceglie	0:1 ✺
24.10.21	Gravina - Virtus Matino	0:2 ✺
20.10.21	Virtus Matino - Altamura	0:2 ✺
17.10.21	Casarano - Virtus Matino	1:0 ✺
06.10.21	Nola - Virtus Matino	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 LWLLL

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