Match Info

Serie D - Group B - Round 8

Date: 18 October 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Mario Gavagnin-Sinibaldo Nocini (Verona) 🌤️ ...


	Virtus Verona		Tritium

	1	X	2
	1.63	3.30	5.00
	1.60	3.25	5.30
	1.65	3.4	5.2	Watch
	1.61	3.25	5.20
	1.64	3.32	5.04
	1.63	3.26	5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.63 (1.63)	3.3 ↑ (3.26)	5.12 ↑ (5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Virtus Verona
55.2%

Draw
27.2%

Tritium
17.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

54.8%

27.4%

17.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.7%

26%

17%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Virtus Verona has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

Tritium has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Virtus Verona than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tritium than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

Virtus Verona - Tritium Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
24', 1 - 0, ⚽,
24', 2 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

A clash between a stable mid-table side and a team seeking crucial survival points (ranked 11th and 18th in the Relegation).

Virtus Verona has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Tritium has struggled for form in recent encounters (last 5 matches: 0 wins).

Virtus Verona carries the favorite tag into this contest.

No recent head-to-head matches have been recorded between these two competitors.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	Virtus Verona	9	3	3	3	8:9	-1	12
18	Tritium	9	1	2	6	9:18	-9	5

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Virtus Verona
Italian Serie D - Group B
11.10.26	Virtus Verona - Chievo	1:1 ✺
04.10.26	Virtus CiseranoBergamo - Virtus Verona	3:0 ✺
27.09.26	Virtus Verona - Pavonese	0:1 ✺
20.09.26	Club Milano - Virtus Verona	0:1 ✺
13.09.26	Piacenza - Virtus Verona	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.3 TLLWW
- Tritium
Italian Serie D - Group B
11.10.26	Tritium - Club Milano	0:1 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie D
07.10.26	Villa Valle - Tritium	2:1 penalties ✺
Italian Serie D - Group B
03.10.26	Chievo - Tritium	5:0 ✺
27.09.26	Tritium - Rovato Vertovese	2:2 ✺
16.09.26	Tritium - Villa Valle	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 LLLTT

Virtus Verona - Tritium