Match Info

Date: 18 July 2020, Saturday


	Vitebsk		Smolevichi

	1	X	2
	1.55	3.6	5.5	Watch
	1.55	3.5	5.5
	1.5	3.65	6	Watch
	1.58	3.65	5.4
	1.55	3.76	6.04
	1.55	3.6	6	Watch
	1.57	3.86	6.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.55 ↑ (1.52)	3.66 ↓ (3.7)	5.85 ↓ (6.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vitebsk
59.2%

Draw
25.1%

Smolevichi
15.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.2%

24.7%

15.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.8%

14.7%

25.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vitebsk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

Smolevichi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vitebsk than the current prediction. (-23.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Vitebsk that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Smolevichi than the current prediction. (+9.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Smolevichi could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
93.2%	2.5%	4.2%

Vitebsk - Smolevichi Predictions

Users Predictions: Vitebsk will win (110 of 118 users predict this - 93.22%).
Confidence interval (95%): 88.68% – 97.76%. The data is statistically significant.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Vitebsk
Belarusian Vysshaya Liga
12.07.20	Vitebsk - Neman Grodno	0:0 ✺
04.07.20	Gorodeja - Vitebsk	2:2 ✺
28.06.20	Torpedo-BelAZ - Vitebsk	1:0 ✺
21.06.20	Vitebsk - Minsk	1:0 ✺
14.06.20	Rukh Brest - Vitebsk	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 TTLWW
- FC Smolevichi
Belarusian Vysshaya Liga
10.07.20	Smolevichi - Isloch Minsk	3:1 ✺
03.07.20	Smolevichi - Dinamo Brest	3:3 ✺
26.06.20	Smolevichi - Slutsk	2:1 ✺
19.06.20	Slavia Mozyr - Smolevichi	2:1 ✺
13.06.20	Neman Grodno - Smolevichi	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.9 WTWLL

Latest Head to Head

Belarusian Vysshaya Liga
05.04.20	Smolevichi - Vitebsk	0:1
Club Friendly
31.01.20	Vitebsk - Smolevichi	1:2
Belarusian Vysshaya Liga
31.08.18	Vitebsk - Smolevichi	4:0
29.04.18	Smolevichi - Vitebsk	1:1
Belarusian Cup
08.07.16	Smolevichi - Vitebsk	0:1

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