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Current Win Probability
Vitoria Guimarães 60.5%
Draw 21.8%
Marítimo 17.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
48.9%
26.6%
24.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
49.7%
26.2%
24.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Vitoria Guimarães has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.6%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Vitoria Guimarães's performance.
Marítimo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Marítimo might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vitoria Guimarães than the current prediction. (-10.8%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Vitoria Guimarães that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Marítimo than the current prediction. (+6.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Marítimo could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Vitoria Guimarães - Marítimo Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
DC - Marítimo (2.51) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Marítimo (votes: 1 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
18. Sornpao T. (G) 11. Pocinho C. 13. Gravante M. 15. Turrentine J. 5. Azevedo B. 20. Mariano M. 7. Foster M. 80. Salgado M. 42. Ribeiro M. 23. Brasil S. (C) 25. Lopes I.
1. Panis N. (G) 4. Gabi Zidoi 5. Silva J. (C) 3. Henrichs S. 19. Goncalves L. 20. Costa L. 2. Holtz J. 10. Coutinho R. 11. Ferreira S. 25. Sisse F. 9. Nemtsov E.
Substitutes
19. Baleia M. 87. Gago M. 9. Gaspar M. 4. Maciel D. 17. Marques V. 27. Ribeiro J. 71. Rocha A. (G) 21. Santos L. 72. Teixeira P.
22. Ferreira C. 15. Freitas D. 13. Freitas I. 6. Nunes C. 7. Oliveira L. 30. Santos B. (G) 17. Silva A.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
12', Ferreira S. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
55', 1 - 0, Mariano M. ⚽,
59', Ribeiro M. ↓, Baleia M. ↑,
65', Turrentine J. 🟨,
65', Goncalves L. ↓, Oliveira L. ↑,
66', Ferreira S. ↓, Freitas I. ↑,
71', 2 - 0, Holtz J. (Own goal),
76', 🟨,
78', Mariano M. ↓, Marques V. ↑,
78', Brasil S. ↓, Gaspar M. ↑,
80', 2 - 1, Oliveira L. ⚽, Nemtsov E. (A),
90+2', Foster M. ↓, Teixeira P. ↑,
90+2', Lopes I. ↓, Gago M. ↑,
Preview
This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 6 and 10 in the zone Relegation).
In recent matches, Guimarães has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Marítimo is on a losing streak (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
Guimarães might have a minor edge in this game.
In the last 1 head-to-head match, Guimarães won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1.
Including home match between the teams, Guimarães won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1.
Portugal
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Sornpao T. (G) 
Pocinho C. 
Gravante M. 
Lopes I. 
Panis N. (G) 
Gabi Zidoi 
Henrichs S. 
Sisse F. 
Nemtsov E. 
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