Match Info

PORTUGAL: LIGA 3 - RELEGATION GROUP - ROUND 6

Date: 6 May 2023, Saturday


	Vitoria Guimarães B		Canelas

	1	X	2
	1.65	3.4	4.5
	1.75	3.96	4.49
	1.71	3.68	4.35
	1.66	3.65	4.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.69 ↓ (2.75)	3.67 ↑ (3.1)	4.46 ↑ (2.38)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vitoria Guimarães B
54.3%

Draw
25%

Canelas
20.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.9%

29.2%

38%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.6%

29%

38.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vitoria Guimarães B has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+21.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Vitoria Guimarães B's performance.

Canelas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-17.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Canelas might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vitoria Guimarães B than the current prediction. (-21.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Vitoria Guimarães B that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Canelas than the current prediction. (+17.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Canelas could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	11.1%	22.2%

Vitoria Guimarães B - Canelas Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Guimarães B will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%). Canelas will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Guimarães B: 35.9% – 97.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Guimarães B is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Canelas in the latest match got series victories and it is in excellent form (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Guimarães B will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Guimarães B won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 2-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Guimarães B won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vitoria Guimarães B
Portuguese Liga 3
29.04.23	Paredes - Vitoria Guimarães B	0:0 ✺
23.04.23	Anadia - Vitoria Guimarães B	2:0 ✺
16.04.23	Canelas - Vitoria Guimarães B	1:0 ✺
08.04.23	Vitoria Guimarães B - Paredes	0:1 ✺
01.04.23	Vitoria Guimarães B - Anadia	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 TLLLT
- CF Canelas 2010
Portuguese Liga 3
29.04.23	Canelas - Anadia	3:1 ✺
23.04.23	Paredes - Canelas	2:2 ✺
16.04.23	Canelas - Vitoria Guimarães B	1:0 ✺
08.04.23	Anadia - Canelas	1:2 ✺
01.04.23	Canelas - Paredes	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.2 WTWWW

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga 3
16.04.23	Canelas - Vitoria Guimarães B	1:0
17.12.22	Canelas - Vitoria Guimarães B	1:0
21.08.22	Vitoria Guimarães B - Canelas	0:2
20.02.22	Vitoria Guimarães B - Canelas	1:0
26.11.21	Canelas - Vitoria Guimarães B	2:1

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