Match Info

PORTUGAL: LIGA 3 - RELEGATION GROUP - ROUND 4

Date: 23 April 2023, Sunday


	Paredes		Canelas

	1	X	2
	2	2.9	3.6
	2	3	4
	2.15	2.98	4.09
	2.01	3.1	3.75	Watch
	2	3	3.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.03 ↓ (2.27)	3 ↑ (2.92)	3.84 ↑ (3.41)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Paredes
45.3%

Draw
30.7%

Canelas
24%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41%

31.8%

27.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.1%

32.6%

26.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Paredes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)

Canelas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Paredes than the current prediction. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Canelas than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

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Preview

Recent matches Paredes is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Canelas in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Canelas could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Paredes will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Paredes won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 3-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Paredes won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- USC Paredes
Portuguese Liga 3
15.04.23	Paredes - Anadia	1:1 ✺
08.04.23	Vitoria Guimarães B - Paredes	0:1 ✺
01.04.23	Canelas - Paredes	2:1 ✺
12.03.23	Paredes - Varzim	1:0 ✺
04.03.23	São João de Ver - Paredes	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.5 TWLWT
- CF Canelas 2010
Portuguese Liga 3
16.04.23	Canelas - Vitoria Guimarães B	1:0 ✺
08.04.23	Anadia - Canelas	1:2 ✺
01.04.23	Canelas - Paredes	2:1 ✺
12.03.23	Canelas - Vilaverdense	3:1 ✺
05.03.23	Varzim - Canelas	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 28.4 WWWWT

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga 3
01.04.23	Canelas - Paredes	2:1
08.01.23	Paredes - Canelas	2:0
28.08.22	Canelas - Paredes	1:0
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
26.01.20	Canelas - Paredes	1:0
25.08.19	Paredes - Canelas	0:0

Paredes - Canelas: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide