Match Info

BULGARIA: VTORA LIGA - ROUND 30

Date: 15 May 2023, Monday

Location: Bistritsa Stadium (Sofia)


	Vitosha Bistritsa		Sozopol

	1	X	2
	1.99	3.75	2.57
	2.3	3.64	2.65	Watch
	1.64	3.55	4.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.98 ↓ (2.32)	3.65 ↑ (2.96)	3.21 ↑ (2.94)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vitosha Bistritsa
46.3%

Draw
25.1%

Sozopol
28.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.9%

30.4%

30.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.6%

31.7%

29.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vitosha Bistritsa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Vitosha Bistritsa's performance.

Sozopol has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vitosha Bistritsa than the current prediction. (-5.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Vitosha Bistritsa that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sozopol than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
17.4%	4.3%	78.3%

Vitosha Bistritsa - Sozopol Predictions

Users Predictions: 23 users predict this event. Vitosha will win (votes: 4 - 17.4%). Sozopol will win (votes: 18 - 78.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 4.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Sozopol: 61.5% – 95.1%.

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Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 16 in the zone Relegation).

Vitosha is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Sozopol is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Vitosha is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Vitosha won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vitosha Bistritsa
Bulgarian Vtora Liga
06.05.23	Maritsa Plovdiv - Vitosha Bistritsa	4:1 ✺
29.04.23	Vitosha Bistritsa - Dunav Ruse	1:1 ✺
22.04.23	Lovech - Vitosha Bistritsa	0:0 ✺
14.04.23	Vitosha Bistritsa - Spartak Pleven	2:2 ✺
08.04.23	Strumska Slava Radomir - Vitosha Bistritsa	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 LTTTL
- FC Sozopol
Bulgarian Vtora Liga
06.05.23	Sozopol - Montana	4:0 ✺
30.04.23	Botev Plovdiv II - Sozopol	0:0 ✺
22.04.23	Sozopol - Krumovgrad	1:1 ✺
14.04.23	Dobrudzha Dobrich - Sozopol	2:0 ✺
09.04.23	Sozopol - Ludogorets II	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.9 WTTLW

Latest Head to Head

Bulgarian Vtora Liga
15.10.22	Sozopol - Vitosha Bistritsa	1:2
29.08.20	Sozopol - Vitosha Bistritsa	0:0
11.12.16	Sozopol - Vitosha Bistritsa	3:0

Vitosha Bistritsa - Sozopol: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide