Match Info
Serie D - Round 9Date: 30 May 2026, SaturdayLocation: Estádio Salvador Venâncio da Costa (Vitoria)
|
 |
|
 |
|
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Vitória ES |
|
Noroeste |
|
|
1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
1.73 |
3.4 |
5.15 |
|
 |
1.62 |
3.3 |
5.94 |
 Watch |
 |
1.7 |
3.1 |
4.6 |
|
 |
1.74 |
3.4 |
4.97 |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.7 ↑
(1.44) |
3.3 ↓
(3.7) |
5.17 ↓
(7.95) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
- The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Vitória ES
54.3% | Draw
27.9% | Noroeste
17.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Vitória ES has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.4%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Vitória ES's form might have worsened.Noroeste has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Noroeste's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vitória ES than the current prediction. (+13.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Vitória ES, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Noroeste than the current prediction. (-7%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Noroeste, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.Vitória ES - Noroeste Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 53', 1 - 0, Tony (Penalty Awarded),
- 89', 1 - 1, Felipe Affonso ⚽,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Vitória ES won 4.Vitória ES is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).Noroeste's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).Vitória ES may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days. In this match, Vitória ES is the obvious favorite.We predict that Vitória ES will win today's game, with odds of 1.5.In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Vitória ES won 10 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 37:23. (average 1.9:1.2).Including home matches between the teams, Vitória ES won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 16:10. (average 1.6:1).
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
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