Match Info
Serie D - Round 8Date: 23 May 2026, SaturdayLocation: Estadio Antonio Guimaraes de Almeida (Tombos)
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 |
|
 |
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Tombense |
|
Noroeste |
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1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
1.51 |
3.65 |
5.98 |
|
 |
1.56 |
3.49 |
6.21 |
Watch |
 |
1.5 |
3.6 |
5.75 |
|
 |
1.48 |
3.6 |
6.75 |
|
 |
1.3 |
4.2 |
9 |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.47 ↑ (1.3) |
3.71 ↓ (4.2) |
6.74 ↓ (9) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
- The best margin for this event is 8.9%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Tombense 61.9% | Draw 24.6% | Noroeste 13.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Tombense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Tombense's form might have worsened.Noroeste has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tombense than the current prediction. (+10.9%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Tombense, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Noroeste than the current prediction. (-4.1%)Tombense - Noroeste Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 24', 1 - 0, Souza J. ⚽,
- 37', 1 - 1, Romulo ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 61', Allan Camilatto 🟥,
- 77', Joao Vitor 🟥,
Preview
The recent form of both competitors has been shaky. In this match, Tombense is the clear favorite.In the last 1 head-to-head match, Tombense won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;