Match Info

Date: 30 April 2022, Saturday


	Vitória Salvador		Manaus

	1	X	2
	1.95	3.1	3.6
	2.05	3.1	3.35
	2.07	3.08	3.88
	2	2.9	3.5
	2.05	3.22	3.54	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.02 ↓ (2.17)	3.08 ↓ (3.1)	3.57 ↑ (3.17)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vitória Salvador
45%

Draw
29.6%

Manaus
25.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.9%

29.4%

28.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.3%

32.5%

26%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vitória Salvador has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

Manaus has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vitória Salvador than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Manaus than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

Vitória Salvador - Manaus Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie D and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C (Second stage)).

Vitória is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Manaus is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Manaus could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Vitória will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- EC Vitória Salvador
Brazilian Serie C
24.04.22	Ypiranga - Vitória Salvador	2:1 ✺
Copa do Brasil
20.04.22	Fortaleza - Vitória Salvador	3:0 ✺
Brazilian Serie C
16.04.22	Vitória Salvador - Floresta	0:1 ✺
09.04.22	Remo - Vitória Salvador	2:1 ✺
Copa do Brasil
23.03.22	Vitória Salvador - GE Glória	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 LLLLW
- Manaus FC
Brazilian Serie C
24.04.22	Manaus - Aparecidense	1:0 ✺
16.04.22	Manaus - Remo	1:0 ✺
11.04.22	Brasil de Pelotas - Manaus	1:1 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Amazonense
02.04.22	Princesa do Solimões - Manaus	1:2 ✺
30.03.22	Manaus - Princesa do Solimões	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.9 WWTWW

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