Match Info

Campeonato de Portugal - Group C - Round 19

Date: 22 February 2026, Sunday


	Vitória de Sernache		SC Lusitânia

	1	X	2
	1.25	4.65	11
	1.25	4.79	11.83	Watch
	1.22	4.4	13
	1.2	5	15
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.23 ↓ (1.31)	4.71 ↑ (4.6)	12.71 ↑ (8.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vitória de Sernache
73.6%

Draw
19.2%

SC Lusitânia
7.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

69.4%

19.8%

10.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vitória de Sernache has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

SC Lusitânia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

Vitória de Sernache - SC Lusitânia Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 5.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
14', 0 - 1, ⚽,
19', 1 - 1, ⚽,
29', 2 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Campeonato de Portugal ~ Promotion Group and 13 in the zone Relegation).

SC Lusitânia has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

SC Lusitânia may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Sernache is the clear favorite.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Sernache won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 4:3. (average 1.3:1).

Including home match between the teams, Sernache won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vitória de Sernache
Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
15.02.26	União da Serra - Vitória de Sernache	0:0 ✺
25.01.26	Eléctrico - Vitória de Sernache	0:1 ✺
17.01.26	Lajense - Vitória de Sernache	1:1 ✺
10.01.26	Vitória de Sernache - Os Marialvas	2:1 ✺
21.12.25	Vitória de Sernache - Naval	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 TWTWW
- SC Lusitânia
Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
14.02.26	SC Lusitânia - Os Marialvas	0:5 ✺
08.02.26	Naval - SC Lusitânia	1:1 ✺
24.01.26	SC Lusitânia - Mortágua	0:1 ✺
18.01.26	Fatima - SC Lusitânia	2:0 ✺
10.01.26	SC Lusitânia - Samora Correia	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 LTLLL

Latest Head to Head

Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
05.10.25	SC Lusitânia - Vitória de Sernache	2:4
10.02.24	SC Lusitânia - Vitória de Sernache	1:0
08.10.23	Vitória de Sernache - SC Lusitânia	0:0

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