Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 16

Date: 11 January 2026, Sunday


	Viveiro		Alondras

	1	X	2
	3	2.78	2.4
	3.11	2.87	2.4
	3	2.75	2.4
	3.03	2.8	2.41
	3.1	2.8	2.37
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.05 ↓ (3.06)	2.8 (2.8)	2.4 ↑ (2.34)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Viveiro
29.8%

Draw
32.4%

Alondras
37.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.4%

32.1%

38.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.5%

32.2%

38.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Viveiro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

Alondras has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Viveiro than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alondras than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

Viveiro - Alondras Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
35', 0 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
82', 0 - 2, ⚽,
90+2', 1 - 2, ⚽,
90+8', 2 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 13 and 11).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Viveiro won 1.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Viveiro won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:10. (average 1:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Viveiro won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:3. (average 1.8:0.8).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Alondras	5	3	0	2	10:9	1	9
16	Viveiro	5	1	1	3	2:5	-3	4

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Viveiro CF
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 1
20.12.25	Viveiro - Estradense	0:3 ✺
13.12.25	Lugo B - Viveiro	0:0 ✺
07.12.25	Viveiro - Somozas	1:0 ✺
23.11.25	Gran Peña - Viveiro	0:0 ✺
16.11.25	Viveiro - Montañeros	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.9 LTWTT
- Alondras CF
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 1
21.12.25	Lugo B - Alondras	2:1 ✺
14.12.25	Alondras - Gran Peña	1:1 ✺
07.12.25	Silva SD - Alondras	0:3 ✺
23.11.25	Alondras - Céltiga	1:0 ✺
16.11.25	Juventud Cambados - Alondras	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 LTWWL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 1
23.03.25	Alondras - Viveiro	4:0
10.11.24	Viveiro - Alondras	2:3
18.02.24	Viveiro - Alondras	1:0
01.10.23	Alondras - Viveiro	0:0
02.04.23	Alondras - Viveiro	3:0
08.12.22	Viveiro - Alondras	2:0
20.02.22	Viveiro - Alondras	2:0

Viveiro - Alondras: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide