Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 14

Date: 14 December 2025, Sunday


	Alondras		Gran Peña

	1	X	2
	1.95	3	3.7
	1.88	3.04	4.3
	1.84	3.09	4.55	Watch
	1.95	2.9	4
	1.97	2.97	3.89
	1.86	3	4.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.91 ↑ (1.77)	3 ↓ (3.32)	4.13 ↑ (4.12)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alondras
47.7%

Draw
30.3%

Gran Peña
22%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.9%

27.2%

21.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.5%

26.4%

21.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alondras has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

Gran Peña has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alondras than the current prediction. (+4.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gran Peña than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

Alondras - Gran Peña Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Alondras (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
10', 0 - 1, Marino D. ⚽,
23', 1 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 10 and 11).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Alondras won 2.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

In this match, Alondras is the team to beat.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Alondras won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 13:10. (average 2.2:1.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Alondras won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:3. (average 1.3:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alondras CF
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 1
07.12.25	Silva SD - Alondras	0:3 ✺
23.11.25	Alondras - Céltiga	1:0 ✺
16.11.25	Juventud Cambados - Alondras	2:0 ✺
09.11.25	Alondras - Boiro	2:2 ✺
02.11.25	Barco - Alondras	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 WWLTT
- Gran Peña FC
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 1
07.12.25	Gran Peña - Lugo B	2:3 ✺
23.11.25	Gran Peña - Viveiro	0:0 ✺
16.11.25	Silva SD - Gran Peña	1:2 ✺
09.11.25	Gran Peña - Céltiga	2:4 ✺
02.11.25	Juventud Cambados - Gran Peña	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 LTWLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 1
16.02.25	Alondras - Gran Peña	0:0
06.10.24	Gran Peña - Alondras	2:1
03.03.24	Gran Peña - Alondras	1:5
14.10.23	Alondras - Gran Peña	1:0
16.04.23	Gran Peña - Alondras	4:3
17.12.22	Alondras - Gran Peña	3:3

Alondras - Gran Peña: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide