Match Info

Serie D - Group E - Round 12

Date: 16 November 2025, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro		Foligno

	1	X	2
	3.25	3.1	2.08
	3.43	3.06	2.06
	2.79	3.29	2.32	Watch
	3.31	3.24	2.05
	2.9	3.25	2.24
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.14 ↑ (2.82)	3.19 ↓ (3.28)	2.15 ↓ (2.27)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro
29.1%

Draw
28.6%

Foligno
42.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

32.2%

27.7%

40.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.7%

26.4%

42%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

Foligno has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Foligno than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro - Foligno Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Foligno will win (votes: 11 - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Foligno: 100% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Foligno will win (8 of 8 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
48', 1 - 0, Bocci N. ⚽,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group E (Play Offs: )).

Sansepolcro is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Foligno is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

We predict that Foligno will win today's game, with odds of 2.3.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro
Italian Serie D - Group E
09.11.25	Seravezza Pozzi - Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro	2:0 ✺
02.11.25	Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro - Ghiviborgo	1:2 ✺
26.10.25	San Donato Tavarnelle - Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro	1:0 ✺
19.10.25	Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro - Siena	0:1 ✺
12.10.25	Prato - Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Foligno
Italian Serie D - Group E
09.11.25	Foligno - Siena	3:1 ✺
02.11.25	Follonica Gavorrano - Foligno	0:2 ✺
26.10.25	Foligno - Terranuova Traiana	0:0 ✺
19.10.25	Scandicci - Foligno	0:2 ✺
12.10.25	Foligno - Poggibonsi	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.9 WWTWW

Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro - Foligno