Match Info

Campeonato Nacional U19 - Relegation Group - Round 9

Date: 11 April 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	Vizela U19		Vitoria Guimarães U19

	1	X	2
	3.1	3.75	1.92
	3.19	3.69	1.97
	3.19	3.84	1.93
	3.21	4.03	1.97
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.17 ↑ (2.91)	3.83 ↑ (3.69)	1.95 ↓ (2.07)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vizela U19
28.9%

Draw
24%

Vitoria Guimarães U19
47.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

31.3%

24.7%

43.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.3%

23.9%

42.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vizela U19 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

Vitoria Guimarães U19 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vizela U19 than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vitoria Guimarães U19 than the current prediction. (-4.6%)

Vizela U19 - Vitoria Guimarães U19 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 1)
56', 0 - 1, ⚽,
81', 1 - 1, Soares R. ⚽,
90+7', 2 - 1, Ribeiro E. ⚽,

Preview

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Guimarães U19 may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Vizela U19 won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 7:13. (average 1.4:2.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Vizela U19 won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:6. (average 2:3).

Last Results with these Odds

Vitoria Guimarães U19 - the odds 2.07 are the expected chance of winning is 43.94%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vizela U19
Portuguese Campeonato Nacional U19
04.04.26	Vizela U19 - Moreirense U19	3:3 ✺
14.03.26	Braga U19 - Vizela U19	1:2 ✺
07.03.26	Vizela U19 - Chaves U19	2:2 ✺
28.02.26	Vizela U19 - Paços de Ferreira U19	2:2 ✺
21.02.26	Vitoria Guimarães U19 - Vizela U19	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.2 TWTTL
- Vitoria Guimarães U19
Portuguese Campeonato Nacional U19
03.04.26	Chaves U19 - Vitoria Guimarães U19	2:1 ✺
14.03.26	Vitoria Guimarães U19 - Moreirense U19	1:1 ✺
07.03.26	Paços de Ferreira U19 - Vitoria Guimarães U19	2:2 ✺
28.02.26	Braga U19 - Vitoria Guimarães U19	5:2 ✺
21.02.26	Vitoria Guimarães U19 - Vizela U19	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 LTTLW

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Campeonato Nacional U19
21.02.26	Vitoria Guimarães U19 - Vizela U19	4:1
10.01.26	Vizela U19 - Vitoria Guimarães U19	3:4
04.10.25	Vitoria Guimarães U19 - Vizela U19	0:2
27.01.24	Vizela U19 - Vitoria Guimarães U19	1:2
01.11.23	Vitoria Guimarães U19 - Vizela U19	3:0

Vizela U19 - Vitoria Guimarães U19