Match Info

CZECH REPUBLIC: DIVISION 2 - ROUND 16

Date: 13 November 2022, Sunday

Location: Stadion v Kollarove ulici (Vlasim)

Referee: Kvitek M. (Cze)

Where to Watch on TV:


Czech-republic	Sporttotal.cz


	Vlašim		Karviná

	1	X	2
	2.1	3.5	2.87
	2.05	3.5	2.87
	2.05	3.3	3.15
	2.12	3.45	2.95
	2.18	3.4	3.2
	2.35	3.2	2.7
	2.07	3.58	3.02	Watch
	2.15	3.6	3.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.13 ↓ (2.6)	3.44 ↑ (3.25)	2.98 ↑ (2.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vlašim
42.8%

Draw
26.5%

Karviná
30.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.2%

28.2%

36.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.8%

27%

35%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vlašim has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Vlašim's performance.

Karviná has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Karviná might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vlašim than the current prediction. (-6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Vlašim that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Karviná than the current prediction. (+4.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
27.3%	18.2%	54.5%

Vlašim - Karviná Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Vlasim will win (votes: 3 - 27.3%). Karviná will win (votes: 6 - 54.5%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 18.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Karviná: 25.1% – 83.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation and 4).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Vlašim won 1.

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Recently Vlašim have a series of guest games.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Vlašim won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 11-14.

Including matches at home between the teams Vlašim won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Vlašim
Czech Division 2
05.11.22	Chrudim - Vlašim	0:2 ✺
30.10.22	Vlašim - Táborsko	2:2 ✺
22.10.22	Vyškov - Vlašim	1:1 ✺
Czech Cup
19.10.22	Dynamo České Budějovice - Vlašim	3:1 ✺
Czech Division 2
16.10.22	Sigma Olomouc B - Vlašim	0:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.9 WTTLW
- MFK Karviná
Czech Division 2
04.11.22	Karviná - Varnsdorf	1:0 ✺
30.10.22	Slavia Prague B - Karviná	4:2 ✺
22.10.22	Karviná - Dukla Prague	5:0 ✺
Czech Cup
18.10.22	Spartak Soběslav - Karviná	0:2 ✺
Czech Division 2
15.10.22	Prostějov - Karviná	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 WLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Czech Division 2
05.08.22	Karviná - Vlašim	3:2
Czech Cup
30.09.20	Karviná - Vlašim	1:3
Czech Division 2
26.03.16	Karviná - Vlašim	1:0
12.09.15	Vlašim - Karviná	0:0
11.04.15	Karviná - Vlašim	2:0
27.09.14	Vlašim - Karviná	2:1
23.03.14	Karviná - Vlašim	2:0

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