Match Info

Date: 22 August 2022, Monday

Location: Stadion Event Place (Belgrade)

Referee: Sreckovic M. (Srb)


	Voždovac		Kolubara

	1	X	2
	1.58	3.7	4.8
	1.59	3.75	4.8
	1.62	3.72	5.91
	1.55	3.5	5.5
	1.52	3.82	5.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.57 ↓ (2)	3.7 ↑ (3.22)	5.31 ↑ (3.33)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Voždovac
58.1%

Draw
24.7%

Kolubara
17.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.1%

27.9%

27%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.8%

29.5%

25.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Voždovac has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Voždovac's performance.

Kolubara has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Kolubara might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Voždovac than the current prediction. (-10.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Voždovac that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kolubara than the current prediction. (+8.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Kolubara could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
67.7%	16.1%	16.1%

Voždovac - Kolubara Predictions

Users Predictions: 31 users predict this event. Voždovac will win (votes: 21 - 67.7%). Kolubara will win (votes: 5 - 16.1%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 16.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Voždovac: 51.2% – 84.2%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 11 in the zone Super Liga (Relegation Group) and 9 in the zone Super Liga (Relegation Group)).

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Voždovac could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Kolubara have a series of home games.

In this match Voždovac is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Voždovac won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-1.

Including matches at home between the teams Voždovac won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FK Voždovac
Serbian Superliga
13.08.22	Crvena Zvezda Belgrade - Voždovac	4:0 ✺
Club Friendly
10.08.22	Voždovac - Shabab Al-Ahli	4:4
Serbian Superliga
05.08.22	Voždovac - Radnički 1923	1:0 ✺
30.07.22	Spartak Subotica - Voždovac	3:0 ✺
24.07.22	Voždovac - Mladost Novi Sad	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.3 LTWLT
- FK Kolubara
Serbian Superliga
17.08.22	Kolubara - Radnički Niš	1:0 ✺
13.08.22	Kolubara - Vojvodina	2:2 ✺
Club Friendly
09.08.22	Kolubara - Shabab Al-Ahli	0:3 ✺
Serbian Superliga
07.08.22	Radnik Surdulica - Kolubara	0:0 ✺
31.07.22	Kolubara - Mladost Lučani	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14 WTLTW

Latest Head to Head

Serbian Superliga
13.02.22	Kolubara - Voždovac	1:0
30.08.21	Voždovac - Kolubara	2:0
Club Friendly
23.05.20	Voždovac - Kolubara	2:0

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