Match Info

SERBIA: SUPER LIGA - RELEGATION GROUP - ROUND 36

Date: 22 May 2023, Monday

Location: Stadion FK Radnik (Surdulica)

Referee: Radakovic N. (Srb)

Where to Watch on TV:


Croatia	Arena Sport
Serbia	Arena Sport


	Radnik Surdulica		Kolubara

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.38	4	7.25
	1.43	4.07	7.91
	1.38	3.9	7.5
	1.41	4.33	7.4
	1.37	4.6	7.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.39 ↑ (1.36)	4.18 ↓ (4.54)	7.53 ↓ (8.52)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Radnik Surdulica
65.9%

Draw
22%

Kolubara
12.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

68.6%

20.5%

10.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

71.3%

19.7%

10.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Radnik Surdulica has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

Kolubara has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Radnik Surdulica than the current prediction. (+5.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Radnik Surdulica, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kolubara than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
69.2%	15.4%	15.4%

Radnik Surdulica - Kolubara Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Radnik will win (votes: 9 - 69.2%). Kolubara will win (votes: 2 - 15.4%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 15.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Radnik: 44.1% – 94.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Recent matches Radnik is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Kolubara has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Kolubara could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Radnik is absolute favorite.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Radnik won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Radnik won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Radnik Surdulica
Serbian Superliga
15.05.23	Radnik Surdulica - Mladost Novi Sad	1:1 ✺
09.05.23	Mladost Lučani - Radnik Surdulica	2:0 ✺
Serbian Cup
04.05.23	Radnik Surdulica - Čukarički	0:1 ✺
Serbian Superliga
30.04.23	Napredak Kruševac - Radnik Surdulica	0:1 ✺
27.04.23	Radnik Surdulica - Radnički Niš	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 TLLWW
- FK Kolubara
Serbian Superliga
14.05.23	Kolubara - Napredak Kruševac	2:2 ✺
07.05.23	Javor Ivanjica - Kolubara	2:0 ✺
01.05.23	Kolubara - Spartak Subotica	0:3 ✺
25.04.23	Mladost Novi Sad - Kolubara	1:0 ✺
21.04.23	Kolubara - Mladost Lučani	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.6 TLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Serbian Superliga
03.02.23	Kolubara - Radnik Surdulica	1:0
07.08.22	Radnik Surdulica - Kolubara	0:0
19.05.22	Radnik Surdulica - Kolubara	3:0
20.11.21	Radnik Surdulica - Kolubara	1:1
26.07.21	Kolubara - Radnik Surdulica	1:1

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