Match Info

SERBIA: Prva Liga - Round 9

Date: 28 September 2024, Saturday

Location: Stadion FK Voždovac (Belgrade)


	Voždovac		Radnik Surdulica

	1	X	2
	1.93	3.3	3.3
	1.86	3.35	3.75
	2.04	2.92	3.48
	2.06	3.21	3.73	Watch
	1.99	3.18	3.55
	1.86	3.35	3.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.96 ↑ (1.67)	3.22 ↓ (3.34)	3.59 ↓ (4.91)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Voždovac
46.5%

Draw
28.2%

Radnik Surdulica
25.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.3%

27.2%

18.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.4%

26.2%

17.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Voždovac has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Voždovac's form might have worsened.

Radnik Surdulica has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Radnik Surdulica's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Voždovac than the current prediction. (+9.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Voždovac, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Radnik Surdulica than the current prediction. (-7.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Radnik Surdulica, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Voždovac - Radnik Surdulica Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Bjelica S. (G) 8. Braunovic V. 20. Cvetojevic I. 10. Furtula N. 34. Knezevic D. 7. Kolarevic M. 77. Milosavic M. 14. Ouanda A. 44. Stankovic N. 18. Traore M. T. 33. Vukovic L.	99. Randjelovic S. (G) 9. Bogdanovic V. 13. Dolmagic D. 66. Gasic M. 4. Hajdarevic H. 3. Marinkovic O. 23. Milic A. 14. Orescanin M. 12. Pavlov E. 11. Stamenkovic B. 54. Stojanovic M.
Substitutes
23. Belic D. 92. Debeljakovic M. (G) 9. Dervisi I. 19. Mijailovic V. 3. Nedeljkovic V. 31. Nedovic L. 32. Pavlovic V. 21. Petrovic B. 43. Petrovic T. 4. Stojanovic M.	37. Abubakar S. 30. Andjelkovic J. 26. Ilic S. (G) 27. Kadijevic A. 19. Lazarevic A. 8. Lukovic O. 7. Owusu D. 24. Stevanovic M. 6. Stojanovic D. 20. Stojanovic L. 18. Tomasevic N.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
11', 0 - 1, Milic A. ⚽,
31', 0 - 2, Pavlov E. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
56', 🟨,
57', 1 - 2, Vukovic L. ⚽,
73', 1 - 3, ⚽,
76', 🟨,
85', 🟨,
88', 🟨,

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FK Voždovac
Serbian Prva Liga
21.09.24	Mačva Šabac - Voždovac	3:1 ✺
14.09.24	Voždovac - Smederevo	0:1 ✺
07.09.24	Dubočica - Voždovac	0:3 ✺
02.09.24	Voždovac - Sloven Ruma	5:0 ✺
24.08.24	Trayal Kruševac - Voždovac	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 LLWWL
- Radnik Surdulica
Serbian Prva Liga
23.09.24	Radnik Surdulica - Radnički Sremska Mitrovica	0:0 ✺
15.09.24	Grafičar Beograd - Radnik Surdulica	1:0 ✺
08.09.24	Radnik Surdulica - Borac Čačak	4:0 ✺
01.09.24	Radnik Surdulica - Vršac	1:1 ✺
25.08.24	Mačva Šabac - Radnik Surdulica	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.9 TLWTL

Latest Head to Head

Serbian Superliga
24.05.24	Voždovac - Radnik Surdulica	3:2
10.12.23	Radnik Surdulica - Voždovac	1:1
12.08.23	Voždovac - Radnik Surdulica	1:1
28.02.23	Radnik Surdulica - Voždovac	2:0
31.08.22	Voždovac - Radnik Surdulica	4:1
04.04.22	Voždovac - Radnik Surdulica	4:0
22.10.21	Radnik Surdulica - Voždovac	1:3

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