Match Info

Serie D - Group B - Round 33

Date: 26 April 2026, Sunday


	Vogherese		Caldiero Terme

	1	X	2
	8.8	3.35	1.43
	7.55	3.58	1.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	8.18 ↑ (8.18)	3.47 ↑ (3.47)	1.44 (1.44)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 10.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vogherese
11.1%

Draw
26.1%

Caldiero Terme
62.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

10.7%

25.2%

65%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Vogherese have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

The chances for Caldiero Terme have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vogherese than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Caldiero Terme than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

Vogherese - Caldiero Terme Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 6)
90', 0 - 1, ⚽,
90', 0 - 2, ⚽,
90', 0 - 3, ⚽,
90', 0 - 4, ⚽,
90', 0 - 5, ⚽,
90', 0 - 6, ⚽,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 11).

Vogherese is Relegated to

Vogherese is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Caldiero Terme's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, Caldiero Terme is the obvious favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Vogherese won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:8. (average 1:4).

Including home match between the teams, Vogherese won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:6.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Caldiero Terme	6	2	3	1	9:8	1	9

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AVC Vogherese 1919
Italian Serie D - Group B
19.04.26	Virtus CiseranoBergamo - Vogherese	0:1 ✺
11.04.26	Vogherese - Casatese	0:4 ✺
02.04.26	Chievo - Vogherese	4:1 ✺
28.03.26	Vogherese - Pavia	0:2 ✺
22.03.26	Leon - Vogherese	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.3 WLLLL
- Caldiero Terme
Italian Serie D - Group B
19.04.26	Caldiero Terme - Villa Valle	2:1 ✺
02.04.26	Caldiero Terme - Brusaporto	0:1 ✺
29.03.26	Folgore Caratese - Caldiero Terme	3:1 ✺
22.03.26	Caldiero Terme - Real Calepina	3:1 ✺
15.03.26	Breno - Caldiero Terme	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 WLLWT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group B
14.12.25	Caldiero Terme - Vogherese	2:2

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