Match Info

Serie D - Group B - Round 29

Date: 29 March 2026, Sunday


	Folgore Caratese		Caldiero Terme

	1	X	2
	1.8	3.3	3.9
	1.82	3.46	3.95	Watch
	1.81	3.34	4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.81 ↑ (1.78)	3.37 ↓ (3.4)	3.95 (3.95)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Folgore Caratese
50.1%

Draw
26.9%

Caldiero Terme
23%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.7%

26.5%

22.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.3%

25.2%

21.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Folgore Caratese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

Caldiero Terme has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Folgore Caratese than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Caldiero Terme than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

Folgore Caratese - Caldiero Terme Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
14', 0 - 1, Orfeini T. ⚽,
19', 1 - 1, Gjonaj E. ⚽,
25', 2 - 1, Capelli A. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
90+4', 3 - 1, Capelli A. ⚽,

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion and 10).

Folgore Caratese is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Caldiero Terme is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Folgore Caratese is a strong favorite.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Folgore Caratese won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 4:5. (average 1.3:1.7).

Including home match between the teams, Folgore Caratese won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Caldiero Terme	6	2	3	1	9:8	1	9

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- US Folgore Caratese ASD
Italian Serie D - Group B
22.03.26	Breno - Folgore Caratese	0:3 ✺
15.03.26	Folgore Caratese - Virtus CiseranoBergamo	1:1 ✺
01.03.26	Milan Futuro - Folgore Caratese	1:1 ✺
22.02.26	Folgore Caratese - Casatese	1:1 ✺
15.02.26	Chievo - Folgore Caratese	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 WTTTW
- Caldiero Terme
Italian Serie D - Group B
22.03.26	Caldiero Terme - Real Calepina	3:1 ✺
15.03.26	Breno - Caldiero Terme	1:1 ✺
01.03.26	Caldiero Terme - Oltrepo	2:4 ✺
22.02.26	Caldiero Terme - Milan Futuro	0:3 ✺
15.02.26	Scanzorosciate - Caldiero Terme	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 WTLLL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group B
16.11.25	Caldiero Terme - Folgore Caratese	2:2
07.01.24	Caldiero Terme - Folgore Caratese	2:0
10.09.23	Folgore Caratese - Caldiero Terme	2:1

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