Match Info

FNL 2 - Division B - Group 2 - Round 14

Date: 28 June 2026, Sunday


	Volga Tver		Murom

	1	X	2
	5.9	4.27	1.48
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.9 ↑ (4.57)	4.27 ↑ (3.88)	1.48 ↓ (1.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Volga Tver
15.7%

Draw
21.7%

Murom
62.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

19.9%

23.4%

56.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.5%

22.9%

58%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Volga Tver has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

Murom has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Murom's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Volga Tver than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Murom than the current prediction. (-4.6%)

Volga Tver - Murom Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
90+2', 1 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 11 and 4).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Volga Tver won 1.

Volga Tver has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Murom's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Volga Tver may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Murom is a strong favorite.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Volga Tver won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:5. (average 1:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Volga Tver won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1. (average 1.3:0.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Murom	24	17	2	5	41:17	24	53
6	Tver	25	11	3	11	42:37	5	36

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Volga Tver
Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 2
21.06.26	Luki-Energiya - Volga Tver	2:1 ✺
14.06.26	Volga Tver - Zvezda St. Petersburg	1:2 ✺
07.06.26	Torpedo Vladimir - Volga Tver	2:0 ✺
31.05.26	Volga Tver - Irkutsk	3:2 ✺
24.05.26	Dynamo Vologda - Volga Tver	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.9 LLLWL
- FC Murom
Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 2
21.06.26	Murom - Iskra Smolensk	6:0 ✺
07.06.26	Luki-Energiya - Murom	2:1 ✺
31.05.26	Murom - Zvezda St. Petersburg	3:0 ✺
23.05.26	Torpedo Vladimir - Murom	1:0 ✺
10.05.26	Dynamo Vologda - Murom	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Russian FNL 2 Group 2
08.10.22	Volga Tver - Murom	0:0
10.08.22	Murom - Volga Tver	1:0
28.05.22	Murom - Volga Tver	2:0
30.04.22	Volga Tver - Murom	0:0
12.04.21	Volga Tver - Murom	4:1
09.10.20	Murom - Volga Tver	1:2

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