Match Info

FNL 2 - Division B - Group 2 - Round 13

Date: 21 June 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Murom		Iskra Smolensk

	1	X	2
	1.22	4.55	16.00
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.22 ↓ (1.53)	4.55 ↑ (3.85)	16 ↑ (5.32)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 10.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Murom
74.4%

Draw
19.9%

Iskra Smolensk
5.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

59.3%

23.6%

17.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.3%

22.8%

16.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Murom has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+15.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Murom's performance.

Iskra Smolensk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Iskra Smolensk might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Murom than the current prediction. (-13.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Murom that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Iskra Smolensk than the current prediction. (+10.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Iskra Smolensk could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Murom - Iskra Smolensk Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (4 - 0)
14', 1 - 0, Asaidulin R. ⚽,
15', 2 - 0, Abdullaev G. ⚽,
42', 3 - 0, Abdullaev G. ⚽,
45+1', 4 - 0, Asaidulin R. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', 5 - 0, Evseev A. ⚽,
83', 6 - 0, Andreev M. ⚽,

Preview

This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 4 and 13).

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

In this match, Murom is the undisputed favorite.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Murom	27	19	3	5	48:19	29	60
14	Iskra Smolensk	27	6	7	14	26:52	-26	25

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Murom
Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 2
07.06.26	Luki-Energiya - Murom	2:1 ✺
31.05.26	Murom - Zvezda St. Petersburg	3:0 ✺
23.05.26	Torpedo Vladimir - Murom	1:0 ✺
10.05.26	Dynamo Vologda - Murom	0:1 ✺
03.05.26	Murom - Baltika 2	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 LWLWW
- Iskra Smolensk
Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 2
13.06.26	Iskra Smolensk - Luki-Energiya	1:1 ✺
06.06.26	Zvezda St. Petersburg - Iskra Smolensk	1:1 ✺
30.05.26	Iskra Smolensk - Torpedo Vladimir	0:1 ✺
24.05.26	Irkutsk - Iskra Smolensk	2:1 ✺
16.05.26	Iskra Smolensk - Dynamo Vologda	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.5 TTLLW

Murom - Iskra Smolensk