Match Info

RUSSIA: Russian Cup - Regions Path - 1/8-finals

Date: 4 September 2024, Wednesday

Location: Trud Stadium (Ulyanovsk)


	Volga Ulyanovsk		Dynamo Kirov

	1	X	2
	1.39	4.55	7.17	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.39 ↓ (1.57)	4.55 ↑ (3.92)	7.17 ↑ (5.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Volga Ulyanovsk
66.7%

Draw
20.4%

Dynamo Kirov
12.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59%

23.6%

17.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61%

22.8%

16.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Volga Ulyanovsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Volga Ulyanovsk's performance.

Dynamo Kirov has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Volga Ulyanovsk than the current prediction. (-5.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Volga Ulyanovsk that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dynamo Kirov than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 0)
3', 1 - 0, Solodarenko V. ⚽,
14', 2 - 0, Murza A. ⚽,
21', 3 - 0, Kravtsov Z. ⚽,
2nd Half (4 - 0)
66', 4 - 0, Bilalov B. ⚽,
69', 5 - 0, Bilalov B. ⚽,
78', 6 - 0, Murza A. ⚽,
80', 7 - 0, Solodarenko V. ⚽,

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Volga Ulyanovsk won 3.

Right away both teams are in a satisfying form.

In this match Volga Ulyanovsk is absolute favorite.

Our prediction for today's Volga Ulyanovsk to win the game is with odds 1.44.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Volga Ulyanovsk won 5 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 11-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Volga Ulyanovsk won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 7-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Volga Ulyanovsk
Russian FNL 2 Division A Silver
31.08.24	Mashuk-KMV Pyatigorsk - Volga Ulyanovsk	1:3 ✺
25.08.24	Volga Ulyanovsk - Krasnodar 2	2:0 ✺
Russian Cup
21.08.24	Lada Togliatti - Volga Ulyanovsk	0:2 ✺
Russian FNL 2 Division A Silver
17.08.24	Irtysh Omsk - Volga Ulyanovsk	0:1 ✺
10.08.24	Volga Ulyanovsk - Murom	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.3 WWWWL
- FC Dynamo Kirov
Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 4
31.08.24	Dynamo Kirov - Dynamo Barnaul	5:0 ✺
24.08.24	Nosta Novotroitsk - Dynamo Kirov	0:0 ✺
Russian Cup
21.08.24	Dynamo Kirov - Sokol Kazan	3:2 ✺
Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 4
17.08.24	Dynamo Kirov - Sokol Kazan	3:2 ✺
10.08.24	Volna Kovernino - Dynamo Kirov	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 WTWWL

Latest Head to Head

Russian PFL Ural-Povolzhye
19.05.17	Volga Ulyanovsk - Dynamo Kirov	1:1
06.10.16	Volga Ulyanovsk - Dynamo Kirov	1:0
21.08.16	Dynamo Kirov - Volga Ulyanovsk	0:2
31.05.16	Volga Ulyanovsk - Dynamo Kirov	2:0
26.10.15	Dynamo Kirov - Volga Ulyanovsk	2:1
09.09.15	Volga Ulyanovsk - Dynamo Kirov	1:0
28.10.14	Dynamo Kirov - Volga Ulyanovsk	1:1

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